This study presents a spatiotemporal traffic prediction approach for NextG mobile networks, ensuring the service-level agreements (SLAs) of each network slice. Our approach is multivariate, multi-step, and spatiotemporal. Leveraging 20 radio access network (RAN) features, peak traffic hour data, and mobility-based clustering, we propose a parametric SLA-based loss function to guarantee an SLA violation rate. We focus on single-cell, multi-cell, and slice-based prediction approaches and present a detailed comparative analysis of their performances, strengths, and limitations. First, we address the application of single-cell and multi-cell training architectures. While single-cell training offers individual cell-level prediction, multi-cell training involves training a model using traffic from multiple cells from the same or different base stations. We show that the single-cell approach outperforms the multi-cell approach and results in test loss improvements of 11.4\% and 38.1\% compared to baseline SLA-based and MAE-based models, respectively. Next, we explore slice-based traffic prediction. We present single-slice and multi-slice methods for slice-based downlink traffic volume prediction, arguing that multi-slice prediction offers a more accurate forecast. The slice-based model we introduce offers substantial test loss improvements of 28.2\%, 36.4\%, and 55.6\% compared to our cell-based model, the baseline SLA-based model, and the baseline MAE-based model, respectively.
@article{Tuna2023b,author={Tuna, Evren and Soysal, Alkan},journal={arXiv:2309.03898},title={Multivariate, Multi-step, and Spatiotemporal Traffic Prediction for NextG Network Slicing under SLA Constraints},year={2023},month=sep,doi={10.48550/arXiv.2309.03898},}
C-22
Multivariate and Multi-step Traffic Prediction for NextG Networks with SLA Violation Constraints
Evren Tuna, and Alkan Soysal
In International Balkan Conference on Communications and Networking (BalkanCom), Jun 2023
This paper focuses on predicting downlink (DL) traffic volume in mobile networks while minimizing overprovisioning and meeting a given service-level agreement (SLA) violation rate. We present a multivariate, multi-step, and SLA-driven approach that incorporates 20 different radio access network (RAN) features, a custom feature set based on peak traffic hours, and handover-based clustering to leverage the spatiotemporal effects. In addition, we propose a custom loss function that ensures the SLA violation rate constraint is satisfied while minimizing overprovisioning. We also perform multi-step prediction up to 24 steps ahead and evaluate performance under both single-step and multi-step prediction conditions. Our study makes several contributions, including the analysis of RAN features, the custom feature set design, a custom loss function, and a parametric method to satisfy SLA constraints.
@inproceedings{Tuna2023,author={Tuna, Evren and Soysal, Alkan},booktitle={International Balkan Conference on Communications and Networking (BalkanCom)},title={Multivariate and Multi-step Traffic Prediction for NextG Networks with SLA Violation Constraints},year={2023},month=jun,doi={10.1109/BalkanCom58402.2023.10167893},}
C-21
Multivariate Spatio-temporal Cellular Traffic Prediction with Handover Based Clustering
Evren Tuna, and Alkan Soysal
In Conference on Information Sciences and Systems (CISS), Mar 2022
We consider an RNN-based traffic volume prediction, which is a critical problem for network slice management and resource allocation in slicing-enabled next generation cellular networks. We propose to use a novel cost function that takes SLA violations into account. Our approach is multivariate and spatio-temporal in three aspects. First, we consider the effects of several other RAN features in a cell besides the traffic volume. Second, we introduce feature vectors based on peak hours of the day and days of the week. Third, we introduce feature vectors based on incoming handover statistics from the neighboring cells. Our results show about 60\% improvement over MAE-based univariate LSTM models and about 20\% improvement over SLA-based univariate models.
@inproceedings{Tuna2022,author={Tuna, Evren and Soysal, Alkan},booktitle={Conference on Information Sciences and Systems (CISS)},title={Multivariate Spatio-temporal Cellular Traffic Prediction with Handover Based Clustering},year={2022},month=mar,doi={10.1109/CISS53076.2022.9751165},}